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High tax take ‘a sign’ of strong jobs market

“Wages growth, which is welcome, when you get that employment growth, which is welcome, the income tax take goes up as well,” says Treasurer Jim Chalmers.  (AAP Image/Dan Himbrechts)

By Poppy Johnston and Kat Wong in Canberra

THE federal treasurer has defended the government’s growing income tax take, saying it’s a sign people are working and earning more.

The mid-year budget update revealed a vastly improved bottom line underpinned by strong commodity prices, jobs growth and rebounding migration after the pandemic.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers said higher income tax revenue means worker pay packets were growing and more people were in jobs.

“And both of those things are good things,” Dr Chalmers told ABC radio on Thursday.

“Wages growth, which is welcome, when you get that employment growth, which is welcome, the income tax take goes up as well,” he said.

Worker pay has been increasing but not as fast as consumer prices have been rising, although Treasury expects wage growth to start outpacing inflation by early next year.

Despite financial pressures on households, the mid-year budget update released on Wednesday contained no direct measures or handouts.

Dr Chalmers said it was never the intention to hand down a “mini-budget” and announce major policies, though he has kept the door open to more cost of living relief down the track.

“As we get closer to the May budget, obviously we will consider whether we can afford to do more, and we’ll factor in… the economic conditions, the budget pressures, and most importantly, the pressures that people are under right around Australia,” he said.

A cost-of-living relief package was announced in the May budget, including energy bill help and cheaper medicines.

The opposition said Labor should be doing more to help the Reserve Bank of Australia bring consumer price growth back within its two-three per cent target band.

Shadow treasurer Angus Taylor said the government should be pulling every lever at its disposal to bring down inflation.

“Spending in particular is important – you don’t tax your way out of a cost-of-living crisis,” he told reporters.

Mr Taylor said while cost of living support measures target symptoms of inflation, it was important to tackle price pressures at the source.

“The greatest cost-of-living support is to get inflation down,” he said.

Anglicare Australia executive director Kasy Chambers said targeted cost of living relief would not add to inflation, unlike planned stage three tax cuts due next year.

“That means giving hundreds of billions of dollars to people who don’t want or need it – which could push up living costs for everyone else,” she said.

But Dr Chalmers said the tax cuts could help reduce pressures.

“If people are keeping more of what they earn that will make it easier for them to make ends meet,” he said.

“(The cuts) will provide some relief to people, they will also return some of this bracket creep.”

CommSec economists Craig James and Ryan Felsman said the tax cuts could be a “very big deal” for the economy.

If inflation is still high, the extra money in the economy could delay rate cuts, or be so stimulatory that the cash rate may need to go higher.

“It all depends on the mood at the time, state of the job market and state of the global economy,” they wrote in a note.

On the other hand, the tax cuts could over support sluggish consumer spending as the lagged impact of interest rate hikes slow the economy next year.

The income tax cuts are set to take effect in mid-2024.

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One Response to High tax take ‘a sign’ of strong jobs market

G Hollands says: 14 December 2023 at 11:37 am

So the Treasurer says that a higher tax take is a measure of “worker pay packets were growing and more people were in jobs.” Perhaps not, it might be simply bracket creep and the fact that Stage 3 of the tax cuts legislated 2 years ago have not yet come into play? Don’t spoil a lie with some facts Treasurer!

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