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Saturday, November 16, 2024 | Digital Edition | Crossword & Sudoku

Fresh scrutiny of Labor’s inflation-busting credentials

Anthony Albanese and Peter Dutton return to Canberra in the wake of Donald Trump’s US election win. (Lukas Coch/AAP PHOTOS)

By Poppy Johnston in Canberra

Price pain and bill shock might feel more acute when MPs return to Canberra after Donald Trump’s election win.

The post-pandemic bout of high inflation that inflicted the US and much of the world was thought to have played a role in voters ousting the Democrats from the White House.

With Australia’s next federal election looming, the opposition is likely to press the Labor government during the final parliamentary sitting fortnight for the year on its economic management and efforts to combat price growth.

Despite the government’s moves to tackle inflation and budget surpluses, underlying price pressures are still too strong for the Reserve Bank of Australia to start delivering much-anticipated interest rate relief.

Slow progress on inflation and the job market’s resilience has prompted National Australia Bank to push back its forecasts for rate cuts from February to May 2025.

Economic teams at the other big banks still tip monetary easing to start in February.

The coalition’s alternative economic plan will come under scrutiny as well after Opposition Leader Peter Dutton suggested he would no longer revisit the stage three tax cuts, possibly taking extra relief for high earners off the table.

The opposition leader might also be under pressure to stamp out debate on abortion access, with Mr Dutton issuing a warning to his party room that a fight on the issue would result in the coalition losing votes.

The Greens have been keen to put reproductive care access on the agenda, promising an extra $100 million a year in funding for public hospitals to provide termination services.

Education reform will get some airtime, with the government’s plan for 100,000 free TAFE places every year set for debate in the lower house.

Labor has also promised to wipe 20 per cent of student debts for tertiary education if returned to office for a second term.

Plans to change election funding rules will be dissected further, with independents worried the redesign will disproportionately benefit major parties and incumbents.

Intended to stop billionaires and large corporations swaying elections, the government’s changes are reportedly set to be rushed through parliament with coalition support and without an inquiry.

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One Response to Fresh scrutiny of Labor’s inflation-busting credentials

David says: 16 November 2024 at 12:26 pm

The challenge in dealing with inflation is this government, like many previous governments, approach is to keep filling and painting the cracks on something that needs some fundamental rebuilding. The big problem is they act as though there is no fundamental problem they need to address and the extra filler will do the trick. Their challenge is then to sell this to the public with the help of supposed expert commentators on the economy. It’s no wonder we have a cost of living crisis and cost of housing problems when we have so called expert economists claiming inflation can be lowered but the government helping pay every ones bills. If that was a solution all essential utilities and services would be government owned and free to the public.

The real problem is things just cost too much and the whole concept of a loan has changed. In the past, and what it should be like, is you get a loan to buy something earlier than if you had to save all the money up front to buy it. Borrowing the money, for say a car, before you have the money means you can pay it off quicker if you have to pay for transport in the meantime. i.e if your renting a car then all that rent money can go towards paying the car off. If you have access to a free car then you just save the money wait until you can buy it outright. This only becomes a problem if car prices keep going up so quickly that if you wait until you save enough the car the price has gone up by more that what it would have cost to take out a loan straight away. The main point is, your borrowing money for something you expect to pay off in a reasonable time and the interest rates aren’t that important.

When everything starts costing too much then the whole loan situation changes. People are taking out loans they don’t expect to pay off in a reasonable amount of time and the repayments become a significant part of their income. If they don’t take out a loan then they are wasting money paying for transport or rent which they get nothing back for. If they wait too long then the cost of everything has gone up, often outstripping the rate they are saving. Everyone then focuses on interests rates but it is a symptom of the real problem which is things costing too much. If they really want to solve the housing problem then downward pressure needs to be put on housing, which has obvious risks for all those owner occupiers currently with loans, this includes building cheaper houses, if it was possible. Alternatively, we need to do better with what we currently have. i.e. increasing supply by better use. Government’s are there to govern and change the rules to match the current situation. In a housing crisis there is no justification for someone owning multiple properties and getting rent from people who should be owner occupiers paying off a loan. This is just disgusting. There is also no justification for houses sitting empty if owned by someone who already owns a home. There is no justification of non residents owning homes. These are all things the government can do to fix the current problem as opposed to applying some filler and leaving the fundamental underlying issues in place.

There is also the furphy of increased wages growth. It only works if what you are trying to make cheaper in not affected by the increase in wages. Every time you hear someone saying, “we are going to address the housing and cost of living crisis by increasing wages growth”, ask them if they think it is unfair that all those people involved in housing (builders et al) food production and delivery etc, have to forgo a pay increase so that things actually become cheaper for those lucky enough to get a pay rise.

Wages growth is not the solution, building more houses at the same price as current houses is not the solution. We need fundamental changes to the structure. Houses cost too much, stop building more at the same price and expecting things to get any better. Stop expecting wages growth to fix the problem. We’ve heard this for decades and it has got us to where we are now.

Everybody loves the word productivity, apply it to housing. Remove as much money lost to rent payments as possible because this is wasted money for someone wanting to own a home. We want all average incomers to own a home by the time they retire so they don’t end up on welfare for housing. Make better use of all existing houses with priority to owner occupiers. It’s a crisis, you don’t hoard toilet paper and expect government subsidies to on sell it. You should expect the same for housing and should not own more than you personally need to live in.

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