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Coalition’s bracket creep plan to cost tens of billions

Opposition Leader Angus Taylor’s first budget reply speech was warmly welcomed by the coalition. Lukas Coch/AAP PHOTOS

By Zac de Silva and Tess Ikonomou in Canberra

A permanent tax cut would cost government coffers $22 billion but could be offset by paring back bureaucracy under a coalition plan.

Delivering his first budget reply speech on Thursday evening, Opposition Leader Angus Taylor promised to end bracket creep by indexing tax rates in line with inflation, claiming the move will deliver workers an extra $1000 a year, four years into the policy.

“(Bracket creep) drives up the average rate of taxation of Australians every single year. It’s an insidious tax,” he told reporters at a media conference in the affluent Canberra suburb of Red Hill.

The overhaul would have a $22.5 billion price over four years, deputy opposition leader Jane Hume said.

“That has been fully costed and offset in our budget reply,” Senator Hume told ABC Radio National on Friday, arguing the measure could be paid for by cutting back government bureaucracy.

Under the coalition’s plan, the bottom two tax brackets – covering people earning between $18,201 and $135,000 – would be indexed from 2028/29.

The top two tax brackets would also be indexed from the 2031/32 financial year.

Mr Taylor also defended his plan to strip welfare payments from permanent residents, including JobSeeker and the National Disability Insurance Scheme, claiming a person was not Australian until they had become a citizen.

Pressed on whether permanent residents who’d lived in the country for years should be considered Australians, Mr Taylor said the government would commit to people when they chose to commit to the country by becoming a citizen.

“At the end of the day, you become Australian when you pledge … to our country, to our parliamentary democracy, to our system of law, to our freedoms in the citizenship ceremony,” Mr Taylor said.

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese accused the opposition of pulling its migration policies from One Nation’s playbook.

“I didn’t know that Angus Taylor had employed (One Nation senator) Malcolm Roberts as a speechwriter, but last night, that’s what it looked like,” he told reporters in Canberra on Thursday.

“You couldn’t have any answers about costings or anything else, they’ve just been a mess and haven’t been able to hold the line.”

The coalition’s plan also includes a broader crackdown on immigration, which would see Australia’s intake of foreigners tied to the number of homes built every year.

“This much I promise: the coalition will deliver one of the biggest cuts to immigration in Australian history,” Mr Taylor said, without providing detailed figures for his migration targets.

Barnaby Joyce, who defected to One Nation in December, said Mr Taylor was effectively reading off his new party’s script and said he’d never seen the coalition pushed further to the right on immigration.

“I think the Australian people … feel uncomfortable about where (migration’s) off to, and they’re demanding of governments of all ilks to give them a sense of security,” Mr Joyce told the ABC.

Migrant advocates responded angrily to the opposition leader’s speech, accusing him of attempting to “chase votes with fear and division”.

“Taylor’s comments tonight are inflammatory and desperate,” Asylum Seeker Resource Centre deputy chief executive Jana Favero said in a statement.

Mixed result as Angus throws everything at his budget reply

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2 Responses to Coalition’s bracket creep plan to cost tens of billions

David says: 16 May 2026 at 9:49 am

It all sounds interesting but let’s not forget that it doesn’t actually address the problem of intergenerational inequality. This inequality comes from many things including unfair access to the tax system. Having a government going into more debt by giving everybody some money doesn’t fix an unfair tax system. It arguably makes it worse because at some point some government will need to get it back and who do you think will pay?

It also doesn’t address the problem of property investors being able to, backed by the tax payer, outbid first home owner occupiers in the current environment. When a property investor outbids a owner occupier that potential owner occupier is still needs a home so will still need to be paying some property investor. We have reached the point where housing is so expensive that owner occupiers struggle to afford building a new house even if they could find the land. Changing immigration isn’t going to change that and, if more housing was possibly a solution, then lowering immigration is going to lower the rate new houses are being built, if we have immigration targeted at construction skills.

If we really want to understand the problem then here is an approach.

The tax system is unfair because some people can access certain tax minimization schemes while others cannot.

So, lets make a change so that anyone receiving an income can do that through a company structure allowing them to redistribute through a discretionary trust if so desired. Not taking anything away from people who can already do this at this point. Now calculate how much this would cost the budget. Let’s say $300 billion dollars for arguments sake. Think of this amount as how much people using this form of tax minimization are being subsidized by those who cannot. A measure of how unfair the tax system is. This is like the $22 billion hit the coalition is proposing but in this case it is actually making the tax system fairer.

However, you could argue we may not be able to afford that as a country, like the $22 billion, so we need to make some changes to offset that but can now do it in a fairer way. Firstly, not everyone can take advantage of income splitting to minimize tax so they get to chose to be a company or individual. For anyone utilizing the company structure we raise tax rate to recoup the required amount. For people employed as individuals we can lower the tax rates so they aren’t disadvantaged compared to people being able to split their income. Now we have a much fairer tax system. Everyone can chose the structure that suits them to minimize tax.

Obviously, if we increase some the tax rates to claw back the $300 billion (or whatever it is) the people currently unfairly taking advantage current tax minimization schemes it will complain because their tax rates will be higher. (Remember, unfairly because not everybody earning an income has access to them). However, now that will be more challenging as they’ll have to justify why everyone else should be subsidizing them and why everyone doesn’t deserve access to the same tax breaks they have.

For the sales pitch, this wont be about broken promises or new taxes or government money grabs. This will be about making tax minimization schemes available to all and any tax rate changes are purely to bring back want the government gets to net zero. The government doesn’t gain or lose. The people having unfair access to tax minimization will lose and its a question of whether those, who have been subsidizing them and stand to gain, are prepared to back whoever puts forward the proposal.

As some homework, work out why this will advantage the younger potential owner occupiers trying to get into the market. It will. Yes, I know, I started with housing and went into tax and left it to the reader. However, the problem with housing is our tax system and you start to fix that and housing will start to recover.

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David says: 16 May 2026 at 4:55 pm

If you don’t like that one, here’s another proposal for you, taken from other countries.
Why don’t we allow owner occupiers to tax deduct the home they live in. Put some rules around it like you can only own one property and cap it at say $1 million dollars. You can buy and sell your house and move the text deduction, just need to stick to one house and a cap of $1million dollars on what you can deduct.

Obviously there is a risk of driving house prices up as this would level the playing field, allowing both investors an owner occupiers to be funded by the tax payer. To avoid this we could place a limit on how many properties a single person can negatively gear, including what they may own through company structures. Let’s say 2 per person. I think most Australians would think that is a reasonable number of houses the tax payer should help fund per person. Any houses property investors then feel they would need to sell would be sold to a now competing group of tax payer funded owner occupiers so house prices may just stay the same. The investors don’t lose, they need to find something to invest in. The cost of funding the extra negative gearing would be offset by the reduction in negative gearing for investors with excessive houses. i.e. not a government tax grab. If that doesn’t release enough houses, given housing supply is so low, the government could throw a new tax in, we like some broken promises, on anyone/entity renting more than two houses. Nice little excess rental property excise to help encourage the redistribution of housing to those how have currently had their aspirations and ability to get wealthy taken away. I think most Australians wouldn’t struggle with the concept on of a new tax targeted at property investors. All aimed at redistribution without lowering prices.

As an aside, for all those older people who think their okay and we shouldn’t change anything. The work environment the younger generation is now living in is significantly different and is still changing rapidly. Job security is diminishing even in jobs many would have thought were safe. AI, general technology advances and internationalization can see whole industries and professions wound up in this country. Being really good at a job can mean nothing and you’re suddenly unemployed. This makes major commitments like buying a home even more difficult because suddenly losing your job may mean you have to retrain before you can find a new one. These people need as much help as possible and the last thing they should be having to do is compete with property investors for somewhere to live. There are other ways to make money and renting of residential property should discouraged because it is at the expense of what makes this a fair and decent society to live in.

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